IBM asks “What’s the temperature in Silicon Valley?”
Posted: May 8th, 2009 | Author: vinnie | Filed under: Uncategorized | 2 Comments »
Last month, a friend at IBM asked me to give a presentation on what I’m seeing for the startup landscape from companies demoing at my meetup.
Below is the slides from my presenation. The short of it in a few bullet points:
- We’re getting pass the social… and getting back to the practical.
- 2-3 years ago, 75-100% of a startups primary function was ‘social networking’ related. Today, a startup with a primarily ‘social’ function may pop-up only every other month.
- Since Feb of this year, creative ideas & entrepreneurs are sprouting.
- The new play is ‘Platforms‘. It’s no longer Open Source but Open API
- Cloud Computing is just starting to hit on consumers, and it will take that adoption to make it really big on the corporate side of things (just like blogs/wikis/social networks made a bigger consumer splash before going enterprise)
IBM Think Seminar
View more presentations from Vinnie Lauria.
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Word life. Those are all pretty good insights. My experience over the past year has been that the commoditization of memcached (and general maturity) makes "the cloud" a real option for a lot of applications, whereas heretofore the lack of I/O throughput — which is par for the course with a virtualized disk — made it little more than a curiosity for people who rely on relational database functionality to back their play.
My other take is that it was a good time (from a market/innovation standpoint) for a recession. The hype level was too high, and the downturn over the past six months seems to have shaken out a lot of fakers. This speaks to your point about "getting back to the practical." That’s where it is.
I expect the next big wave to be driven by ycombinator-style bootstrapped projects that use commodity tools to take their ideas (if deemed worthy by customers) to scale directly. These folks will have the freedom to decide whether or not they feel like chasing big capital for their putative next level, or just making money the old fashioned way. Less chasing some fantasy "liquidity event," more figuring out how to run a healthy-margin business and retain creative control.
Anyway, great to see you. Definitely drinks or the like next time I’m around. Congratz again on yr engagement! :)